ALPER OZGIT

Writing

A forthcoming book, essays, papers, and advocacy on the lines between investing, speculation, gambling, and games, and the law, finance, and history that shape them.

Book

Forthcoming with MindStir Media.

Forthcoming
Early 2027

Predictable

What Happens When the Rope Comes Down. A story about an early legal question, why it matters now, and what comes next.

Cover of Predictable

Selected essays

Written for Full Court Press, my Substack. All essays

Essay
Sep 24, 2026

Daily Fantasy Sports Was the Trojan Horse

Fantasy sports was never a game, and treating it as one let daily fantasy open the door to nationwide sports betting.

Essay
Sep 14, 2026

CME Walked Away. Was It Really About Sports?

Its abrupt retreat may have been a narrow business decision, or one move in a much larger strategic conflict.

Essay
Feb 19, 2026

Unfinished Business: What Murphy Didn’t Decide About Sports Gambling

Murphy struck down one federal law, PASPA. The Wire Act and the Commodity Exchange Act remain.

Essay
Nov 26, 2025

Federal Preemption Has Been Barking For Years: Is Kalshi’s Latest Setback in Nevada Justified?

Our call for economic purpose, not jurisdiction, as prediction markets march toward a Supreme Court showdown.

Papers

My academic research on investing, speculation, gambling, and games.

Manuscript under review
2026

Unfinished Business: Sports Gambling After Murphy

Working paper

Fooled: Fantasy Sports Is Not a Game

Working paper

Refining Howey: Investor Protection in the 21st Century

Work in progress

Commodities, Contracts, and Casinos: Reading the Commodity Exchange Act as a Whole

Work in progress

Litigation Sequencing

Selected advocacy

A petition, amicus briefs filed through counsel, and comment letters I drafted. All advocacy

Petition for certiorari
2013

Rabalais v. Leon, U.S. Supreme Court

Question Presented: Is sports performance an excluded commodity under the Commodity Exchange Act?

Amicus brief
2017

Murphy v. NCAA, U.S. Supreme Court

Filed in support of neither party. Argued that sports gambling contracts could be characterized as commodity futures contracts, a question the Court did not address.

Comment letter
Apr 30, 2026

CFTC, Prediction Markets

Responded to the CFTC’s advance notice of proposed rulemaking on prediction markets, arguing that the Commission has exclusive jurisdiction over event contracts.

Amicus brief
2021

White v. Cuomo, New York Court of Appeals

Argued for an economic-purpose test that separates markets serving hedging and price discovery from vehicles for speculation. The majority upheld daily fantasy as a skill contest without adopting it.