About

I’m an economist. In July 2004, on a road trip to Las Vegas, I debated two fellow doctoral students about whether sports betting could be arbitraged. It couldn’t, but the question led me to betting exchanges and, in 2006, to a Ph.D. at UCLA with a dissertation on how they compete with bookmakers.

I then spent nineteen years in consulting at PwC, and in 2025 came back full time to the questions that stayed with me. What counts as investing, speculation, gambling, or a game?

Most of this work lives at Lexicon Labs, a public benefit corporation I co-founded. I write at Full Court Press, publish prediction market intelligence through LexCurrent, and my book, Predictable, is due in early 2027.

Disclosure. I was part of developing sports-based financial products and hold an equity interest in the company that owns their intellectual property.